Assorted facts and factoids from going through the data…
- Liberal support dropped by 2000 or more votes in nine ridings. SW Ontario accounted for eight (!) of them. It went up by 2000 or more in 59 ridings and just six of them were SW. The region was, as always, not representative of the province.
- The top 3 closest 3-way races, and 6 of the top 10, were in SW Ont. The three closest battles not involving the Liberals (so, PC vs. NDP) were in Sarnia, Chatham, and London. That probably means something.
- Liberals had 50%+ of the vote in 24 ridings. NDP in 9. PCs: only 4, all rural. They somehow lost Halton, which I never expected to see. The NDP gained votes in 69 ridings, the PCs 56, and the Liberals in 84 (!). Biggest Liberal drops were, you guessed it, all in SW Ontario.
- Skip a debate at your own risk: the worst performance by a PC candidate was in Thunder Bay–Superior North, 7.2%. Then again, maybe Tim Hudak skipped it because he knew it was a 7% riding, even if it was 17.5% last time.
- Average performance of repeat candidates (in terms of votes added, not a percentage-point change): LIB +19%, NDP +11%, PC -1%. Then there’s GRN +88%. Hmmmm.
- That last stat also shows us that another overlooked element was how poorly Andrea Horwath did in her own riding. NDP repeat candidates had 11% more votes than in 2011 on average, but Horwath lost 9%. Not a great performance from a party leader, especially one who has a long history representing downtown Hamilton. The voters could have assumed she wasn’t going to run again in 2018 (or whenever) and were trying to signal that by supporting other candidates, but I don’t want to read too much into a few data points.
- A vote in Timmins was worth 3.5 times more than one in Markham. Reminder that votes are not equal.
In response to much media speculation, it is with a heavy heart that I must advise I will not seek the leadership of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario.
Mark Buehrle’s ERA was 4.15 last year and is 2.33 this year. J.A. Happ, 4.56 to 3.34. For the team overall, it’s 4.25 to 4.14. These are all good things.
I was curious how much of it was a result of getting rid of J.P. Arencibia.
10. Listing does not say ‘no pets allowed’ but instead that you must have two of every pet
9. Six murders in that neighbourhood every year and they’ve already had five
8. Five-minute walk from beach; for twelve hours each day, it’s much closer than that
7. Apartment isn’t one-bedroom — the whole building is
6. Neighbourhood often loses power due to Gentryfication
5. It was girlfriend-approved, but then she asked her real boyfriend what he thought
4. Not sure you want to move to an area called the Great White Northside
3. Streets are closed alternate Saturdays while 12- to 17-year-olds fight to the death
2. Impossible to tell where to put your car since everything is parallax parking
1. Present in all the living room photos: Rob Ford
In response to this, I took the current 40-man roster and removed anyone on the DL. Then took out Drabek and Rasmussen and McGuire and Jimenez. This left 34 players. 25 were randomly selected, ignoring position. Here is the result of that: